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Modèle d'Actualisation des Dividendes

Estimez la juste valeur d'une action en utilisant le modèle de croissance de Gordon avec projections de dividendes et taux de rendement requis.

Current annual dividend
$
Growth rate
%
Required return
%
Model type
Next dividend
Dividend yield
Formula
Stock fair value
$
Gordon Growth Model
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Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend discount model?
The dividend discount model (DDM) estimates a stock's fair value by projecting future dividends and discounting them to present value. It assumes that a stock's intrinsic value equals the sum of all its future dividend payments.
What is the Gordon Growth Model?
The Gordon Growth Model is the simplest form of DDM that assumes dividends grow at a constant rate forever. The formula is P = D₁ ÷ (r - g), where D₁ is next year's dividend, r is the required return, and g is the growth rate.
Can I use the dividend discount model for any stock?
No. The dividend discount model only works for dividend-paying stocks and is most suitable for mature companies with stable, sustainable dividend growth. It cannot be used for non-dividend-paying stocks or companies that don't yet pay dividends.
What is the required rate of return?
The required rate of return is the minimum annual percentage return you expect to earn on the stock to justify the investment. It must be higher than the projected dividend growth rate.
How accurate is the dividend discount model?
The dividend discount model is only as accurate as your assumptions about future dividend growth and required returns. Small changes in these assumptions can significantly impact the valuation, and it may not account for market sentiment or company-specific events.
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